Global air capacities are expected to exceed pre-crisis levels next October

Avatar photo

The specialized consulting firm IBA forecasts this return to capacity in 2019, when air capacity reached 95% of the pre-crisis level in June.

In its latest airline industry barometer, specialist consultancy IBA forecasts that global airline seat capacity (in ASK, available seat-kilometres) will surpass 2019 levels next October.

Chinese operators catch up

For the month of June, capacity has already reached 95% of pre-crisis levels overall. IBA specifies that, curiously, the level of capacity remains down 1 point compared to that of May 2023. Nevertheless, over this month, the airlines of Africa, North America and Latin America have already exceeded capacity from 2019, while operators in Asia-Pacific, Europe and the Middle East are slightly behind, continuing to consolidate their recovery. Chinese airline capacity reached 89% of 2019 levels in June, a significant growth from the 82% capacity level from 2019 experienced at the end of the first quarter of 2023.

2.82 million commercial passenger flights operated in June 2023.

In June 2023, a total of 2.82 million commercial passenger flights were performed, compared to 2.81 million in May 2023, and 2.41 million in June 2022. 388,000 flights were performed by Chinese airlines, compared to 397,000 flights operated in May 2023 and 207,000 flights in June 2022.

For aircraft deliveries, a total of 141 commercial aircraft were delivered in June 2023, representing an increase of 15% from May and 23% from June 2022. June saw the most large number of new generation aircraft delivered this year, with a total of 102 aircraft delivered, between the Airbus A320neo and the Boeing 737 MAX. During the first half of 2023, Airbus A320neo deliveries were almost 45 aircraft per month, compared to an average of 35 Boeing 737 MAX delivered per month.

John Walker Avatar